International Relations

DOI: doi.org/10.71671/FHKD-YP27

Mediterranean countries show a high degree of trade integration, with generally elevated levels of openness. Only a few countries (Syria, Algeria, and Egypt) have a trade-to-GDP ratio below 50%. Large economies such as France, Italy, and Spain are relatively less open due to their large domestic markets and diversified production structures. In contrast, smaller or less developed economies display very high openness, often exceeding 100%. The trade balance is negative for most countries, with only ten economies recording a surplus, including Malta, Spain, and Italy. Significant surpluses are also observed in energy-exporting countries such as Libya and Algeria, while large deficits characterize the Balkans and some Middle Eastern economies. There is a weak positive correlation between trade openness and trade balance equilibrium. In agri-food trade, national specializations emerge, with some EU and North African countries in surplus and others heavily dependent on imports.

Overview

The analysis of indicators including trade balance, incidence of exports on GDP, trade of energy product and FDI flows, reflect the competitiveness, economic specialization and attractiveness of Mediterranean countries.

  • European Union
  • Western Balkans
  • Middle East
  • North Africa
Indicators Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) Exports of goods and services (annual % growth) Exports of goods and services (current US$) Food exports (% of merchandise exports) Food imports (% of merchandise imports) Imports of goods and services (annual % growth) Imports of goods and services (current US$) Foreign direct investment, net inflows (% of GDP) Foreign direct investment, net outflows (% of GDP) area_code ordgeo
Countries 2024 2024 2024 2024 2024 2024 2024 2023 2023
Portugal 46.5 3.4 143.5 14.4 15.3 5.0 137.9 4.0 1.9 A 1
Spain 37.3 3.1 642.5 18.6 12.5 2.4 568.7 2.6 2.5 A 2
France 33.2 1.2 1,051.2 13.3 10.6 -1.2 1,074.4 0.6 2.3 A 3
Italy 32.7 0.4 776.7 11.0 11.5 -0.7 722.4 1.8 1.3 A 4
Slovenia 81.5 3.2 59.1 3.7 5.3 3.9 54.3 2.1 1.2 A 5
Croatia 49.8 0.9 46.1 15.2 14.3 5.3 49.0 4.0 1.6 A 6
Greece 42.0 1.0 108.0 21.7 13.1 5.5 121.7 1.9 1.7 A 7
Malta 123.5 5.3 30.0 9.7 11.9 4.7 25.8 136.1 127.8 A 8
Cyprus 96.7 5.3 35.1 22.5 15.3 2.4 33.8 0.2 -19.1 A 9
Serbia 52.7 3.2 46.9 .. .. 8.3 52.4 7.3 0.2 B 10
Kosovo 41.9 9.7 4.7 .. .. 8.9 8.1 8.7 2.0 B 11
Bosnia and Herzegovina 42.8 -3.1 12.1 7.1 17.4 2.8 16.2 3.8 0.4 B 12
Montenegro 44.9 -3.2 3.6 16.8 23.6 5.5 5.5 7.0 0.8 B 13
North Macedonia 62.7 -3.8 10.5 10.6 11.7 -0.6 12.7 6.3 1.3 B 14
Albania 36.1 -0.8 9.8 13.3 16.6 6.0 11.7 6.7 0.3 B 15
Turkiye 28.1 0.9 371.1 12.3 6.2 -4.1 367.6 0.9 0.5 C 16
Syrian Arab Republic 6.8 30.7 1.6 21.0 21.0 -7.6 6.8 1.2 .. C 17
Lebanon 30.6 -1.1 6.1 16.4 16.3 -0.3 14.8 3.3 0.4 C 18
Jordan 42.6 .. 22.7 13.4 20.2 .. 30.4 1.6 0.1 C 19
Israel 28.4 -5.6 153.7 4.2 10.6 -0.4 140.6 3.1 1.5 C 20
West Bank and Gaza 21.0 -11.1 2.9 21.4 30.9 -31.1 8.3 0.6 0.0 C 21
Egypt, Arab Rep. 16.4 -10.6 63.7 21.9 20.4 4.7 90.4 2.5 0.1 D 22
Libya 74.8 -6.9 34.9 0.1 21.6 -3.0 27.6 1.8 -0.4 D 23
Tunisia 48.4 -0.8 25.9 12.9 13.4 4.6 30.2 1.5 -0.0 D 24
Algeria 23.6 3.4 58.5 1.0 20.2 17.9 49.7 0.5 0.1 D 25
Morocco 43.3 8.6 66.8 18.9 14.0 13.0 81.0 1.8 0.5 D 26

Exports of goods and services (% of GDP)

  • Syrian Arab Republic Latest available data: 2022
  • Lebanon Latest available data: 2023
  • Algeria Latest available data: 2023

Exports of goods and services (annual % growth)

  • Syrian Arab Republic Latest available data: 2022
  • Lebanon Latest available data: 2023
  • Jordan No data available
  • Algeria Latest available data: 2023

Exports of goods and services (current US$)

  • Syrian Arab Republic Latest available data: 2022
  • Lebanon Latest available data: 2023
  • Algeria Latest available data: 2023

Food exports (% of merchandise exports)

  • Serbia No data available
  • Kosovo No data available
  • Syrian Arab Republic Latest available data: 2010
  • Lebanon Latest available data: 2023
  • Jordan Latest available data: 2023
  • West Bank and Gaza Latest available data: 2023
  • Libya Latest available data: 2019
  • Tunisia Latest available data: 2023
  • Algeria Latest available data: 2017
  • Morocco Latest available data: 2023

Food imports (% of merchandise imports)

  • Serbia No data available
  • Kosovo No data available
  • Syrian Arab Republic Latest available data: 2010
  • Lebanon Latest available data: 2023
  • Jordan Latest available data: 2023
  • West Bank and Gaza Latest available data: 2023
  • Libya Latest available data: 2019
  • Tunisia Latest available data: 2023
  • Algeria Latest available data: 2017
  • Morocco Latest available data: 2023

Imports of goods and services (annual % growth)

  • Syrian Arab Republic Latest available data: 2022
  • Lebanon Latest available data: 2023
  • Jordan No data available
  • Algeria Latest available data: 2023

Imports of goods and services (current US$)

  • Syrian Arab Republic Latest available data: 2022
  • Lebanon Latest available data: 2023
  • Algeria Latest available data: 2023

Foreign direct investment, net inflows (% of GDP)

  • Malta Latest available data: 2022
  • Cyprus Latest available data: 2022
  • Serbia Latest available data: 2022
  • North Macedonia Latest available data: 2022
  • Albania Latest available data: 2021
  • Syrian Arab Republic Latest available data: 2011
  • Morocco Latest available data: 2022

Foreign direct investment, net outflows (% of GDP)

  • Malta Latest available data: 2022
  • Cyprus Latest available data: 2022
  • Serbia Latest available data: 2022
  • North Macedonia Latest available data: 2022
  • Albania Latest available data: 2021
  • Syrian Arab Republic No data available
  • Morocco Latest available data: 2022

Some highlighted topics

International Openness and Trade Balance

Mediterranean countries are, overall, well integrated into international trade, displaying relatively high levels of trade openness. Among the 26 countries considered, only Syria (35.6%), Algeria (43.7%), and Egypt (39.6%) record a ratio of exports and imports to Gross Domestic Product below 50%. Large European Union economies—such as France, Italy, and Spain—as well as Turkey and Israel in the Middle East, exhibit intermediate levels of trade openness, ranging between 50% and 70%, reflecting their larger domestic markets when compared to smaller economies. By contrast, several smaller and more outward-oriented countries show markedly higher levels of openness. Within the European Union, Malta (229.6%), Cyprus (189.8%), and Slovenia (156.5%) exceed the 100% threshold. Similarly high values are observed in North Africa for Libya (133.9%) and Tunisia (105%), as well as in all Western Balkan countries with the exception of Albania.

More developed countries with higher GDP levels tend to display relatively lower degrees of trade openness, as they benefit from large domestic markets and highly diversified productive structures that are able to satisfy a substantial share of domestic demand without relying extensively on foreign trade. In addition, their higher GDP increases the denominator of the exports-plus-imports-to-GDP ratio, thereby reducing its value even in the presence of sizable trade flows. In advanced economies, the larger weight of service sectors—such as health, education, and personal services, which are often non-tradable internationally—further contributes to GDP growth without a proportional increase in external trade. By contrast, smaller or less developed economies tend to be more specialized, more dependent on foreign markets, and more deeply integrated into global value chains. As a result, they typically record higher levels of imports and exports relative to a smaller GDP base, and consequently higher degrees of trade openness.

Figure 1 – International Openness degree. Year 2024 (percentage)

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The balance between exports and imports (normalized with respect to each country’s total foreign trade) is negative for the majority of Mediterranean countries. Only ten countries—six of which are members of the European Union—record a trade surplus.

Among EU countries, those with a positive trade balance are, in descending order, Malta (+7.6%), Spain (+6.1%), Slovenia (+4.2%), Italy (+3.6%), Portugal (+2.0%), and Cyprus (+1.9%). These are joined by the two most economically advanced countries in the Middle East, with the highest GDP per capita, Israel (+4.4%) and Turkey (+0.5%), as well as by two North African countries that are major exporters of energy products—Libya (+11.8%) and Algeria (+8.1%)—which rank first and second, respectively, in terms of trade surplus among the twenty-six Mediterranean countries considered. All Western Balkan countries record trade deficits, with particularly pronounced shortfalls in Kosovo (−26.6%) and Montenegro (−20.2%). Trade balances are also markedly negative in Palestine (−48.3%) among Middle Eastern countries and in Egypt (−17.3%) in North Africa.

Figure 2 – Normalized trade balance. Year 2024 (percentage)

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The two indicators discussed above—the degree of trade openness and the normalized trade balance—exhibit a positive, albeit weak, correlation (see Figure 3). Higher levels of trade openness are associated with a more balanced trade position.

Figure 3 – International Openness degree and normalized trade balance. Year 2024 (percentage)

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Foreign Trade of Food Products

The share of food products in total foreign trade provides an indication of each country’s degree of specialization in this specific production and trade segment.

Eight out of the twenty-six Mediterranean countries record a positive balance between exports and imports of food products, five of which are European Union members (Spain, France, Croatia, Greece, and Cyprus). Outside the EU, positive balances are observed in Morocco (food products accounting for 18.9% of exports and 14.0% of imports), Turkey (12.0% of exports and 6.5% of imports), and Lebanon (16.4% of exports and 16.3% of imports). The share of food products in exports is particularly high in Cyprus (21.3%), Greece (20.2%), and Spain (17.3%) within the European Union, as well as in Palestine (21.4%) in the Middle East and in Egypt (19.9%) and Morocco (18.9%) in North Africa. On the import side, the weight of food products is especially pronounced in Palestine (30.9%)—the highest among all twenty-six Mediterranean countries—followed by Montenegro (24.1%) and Egypt (21.7%).

Figure 4 – Exports and Imports of food products. Year 2024 (percentage of merchandise trade)

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Economy > International Relations