Macroeconomics and Public Finance

DOI: doi.org/10.71671/1k2w-fr30

The Mediterranean presents significant economic and social diversity. Regional GDP is dominated by EU countries (73.4%), with Türkiye and Egypt as the main economies in the Middle East and North Africa. Significant growth in GDP per capita is observed in Türkiye and Albania, while Syria and Libya have suffered contractions. In the EU economies, the role of services is prevalent, while North Africa and the Balkans show a strong share of agricultural value added. In addition to the major EU countries, also Israel, Morocco, Türkiye and North Macedonia are specialized in medium and high technology productions.

Overview

Economic issues are analyzed through indicators that examine total and per capita GDP, composition of value added by economic sectors, average annual growth, medium and high-tech production, as well as regional trends in agriculture and manufacturing.

  • European Union
  • Western Balkans
  • Middle East
  • North Africa
Indicators GDP (US$ billion, current values) GDP growth (annual %) GDP per capita, PPP (constant 2017 international $) Agriculture, forestry, and fishing, value added (% of total value added) Industry (including construction), value added (% of total value added) Services, value added (% of total value added) Medium and high-tech manufacturing value added (% manufacturing value added) area_code ordgeo
Countries 2023 2023 2023 2023 2023 2023 2021
Portugal 287.1 2.3 41,709.6 2.3 20.7 77.0 27.7 A 1
Spain 1,580.7 2.5 46,356.6 2.6 22.2 75.2 39.8 A 2
France 3,030.9 0.7 55,213.7 2.1 20.8 77.1 51.7 A 3
Italy 2,254.9 0.9 52,699.9 2.2 25.7 72.2 43.5 A 4
Slovenia 68.2 1.6 48,109.1 2.1 32.8 65.1 37.3 A 5
Croatia 82.7 3.1 41,343.5 3.6 22.6 73.8 32.7 A 6
Greece 238.2 2.0 36,267.7 4.4 18.0 77.7 26.5 A 7
Malta 21.0 5.6 57,230.1 0.8 13.1 86.1 29.0 A 8
Cyprus 32.2 2.5 50,578.4 1.8 13.9 84.3 29.8 A 9
Serbia 75.2 2.5 24,510.8 6.3 31.8 61.9 25.4 B 10
Kosovo 10.4 3.3 13,547.0 9.7 32.8 57.4 .. B 11
Bosnia and Herzegovina 27.1 1.7 19,860.3 5.2 27.7 67.1 18.6 B 12
Montenegro 7.4 6.0 27,776.4 7.0 14.8 78.2 14.9 B 13
North Macedonia 14.8 1.0 23,423.9 8.1 24.7 67.3 33.2 B 14
Albania 23.0 3.4 18,059.9 20.9 24.2 54.9 6.3 B 15
Turkiye 1,108.0 4.5 34,414.2 7.0 31.9 61.1 34.3 C 16
Syrian Arab Republic 9.0 1.3 2,914.5 27.8 28.9 43.3 21.5 C 17
Lebanon 17.9 -0.2 12,293.3 2.1 4.6 93.3 19.9 C 18
Jordan 50.8 2.6 9,421.0 5.4 26.9 67.7 19.9 C 19
Israel 509.9 2.0 48,277.6 1.4 18.9 79.7 46.9 C 20
West Bank and Gaza 17.4 -5.5 5,307.6 7.0 21.4 71.6 7.2 C 21
Egypt, Arab Rep. 395.9 3.8 16,960.6 11.2 34.5 54.4 22.7 D 22
Libya 50.5 -1.7 17,703.9 1.2 63.8 35.0 16.1 D 23
Tunisia 48.5 0.4 12,332.1 10.0 24.7 65.3 27.6 D 24
Algeria 239.9 4.1 15,347.5 13.7 39.5 46.8 2.7 D 25
Morocco 141.1 3.2 8,782.3 13.4 26.5 60.1 41.2 D 26

GDP (US$ billion, current values)
  • Syrian Arab Republic Latest available data: 2021
GDP growth (annual %)
  • Syrian Arab Republic Latest available data: 2021
GDP per capita, PPP (constant 2017 international $)
  • Syrian Arab Republic Latest available data: 2021
Agriculture, forestry, and fishing, value added (% of total value added)
  • Syrian Arab Republic Latest available data: 2021
  • Israel Latest available data: 2021
  • West Bank and Gaza Latest available data: 2022
Industry (including construction), value added (% of total value added)
  • Syrian Arab Republic Latest available data: 2021
  • Israel Latest available data: 2021
  • West Bank and Gaza Latest available data: 2022
Services, value added (% of total value added)
  • Syrian Arab Republic Latest available data: 2021
  • Israel Latest available data: 2021
  • West Bank and Gaza Latest available data: 2022
Medium and high-tech manufacturing value added (% manufacturing value added)
  • Kosovo No data available

Some highlighted topics

Size of the economy and growth dynamics

In 2023, the total GDP of the Mediterranean region, calculated at current values, amounted to approximately 10,343 billion dollars, with a clearly prevailing weight of the European Union countries which account for 73.4% of the region's GDP. The weight of the countries of the Middle East (16.6%) and North Africa (8.5%) is smaller and Western Balkans account for just 1.5% of the total.

The three main countries of the European Union (France, Italy and Spain) together account for 2/3 of the area's total GDP (66.4%). Turkey (Gross Domestic Product equal to over 1,100 billion dollars) is the largest economy in the Middle East, in fourth place within the Mediterranean area, while Egypt (almost 400 billion dollars) is the country with the highest GDP in North Africa and Serbia the one with the largest economic system (GDP of over 75 billion dollars) among those in the Western Balkans region (see Figure 1).

Figure 1 – Gross Domestic Product in 2023 (US$ billion, current values) and average GDP growth rate in the period 2001-2023 (%)

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Looking at the GDP dynamics in the period 2001-2023, the average annual growth rate of the European Union countries, apart from Malta (+4.3%), was significantly lower than that recorded in other countries of the Mediterranean area. In more detail, the countries of the European Union occupy seven of the last nine positions in terms of average GDP growth, with France, Italy, Spain, Portugal and Greece recording an average annual growth between 0.4% (Italy and Greece) and 1.5% (Spain).

The average growth rate in the other countries was at least 2.4% (Croatia, Slovenia, North Macedonia and Tunisia), while among the countries with high levels of GDP, Turkey experienced an average growth rate of 5% in the period considered, second only to Libya (over 7%) among the twenty-six countries in the area.

The trend of GDP per capita - calculated at Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) with constant values (in $ 2017) - highlights significant differences between countries, even within homogeneous geo-economic areas. More specifically, in the European Union (see Figure 2), Croatia and Malta recorded the most vigorous growth, exceeding 80% for both countries between 2001 and 2023. The dynamics in Italy and Greece are weak (+2.5% and +7.8% respectively). In the Western Balkans region, all countries show a very sustained trend, with a growth rate ranging between 88% (Montenegro) and 152% (Albania) over the 2001-2023 period. In the Middle East, in addition to Syria - which following a long phase of instability recorded a sharp contraction in per capita GDP (-41%) - also Lebanon (+3.7%) and Jordan (+6.1%) are characterized by weak growth. Israel's GDP per capita is widely the highest in the region (over 48 thousand dollars, +48.5% between 2001 and 2023), while Turkey (over 34 thousand dollars) shows a growth rate among the highest in the entire Mediterranean area (+144%). In North Africa, Libya - like Syria - experienced conditions of strong instability in the period considered but the contraction in GDP per capita was less pronounced (-8%). Libya’s GDP, around 18 thousand dollars in 2023, remains the highest among North African countries. GDP per capita growth in Algeria, Tunisia (around +30% for the two countries), Egypt and Morocco (above 60% in both cases) led to a significant reduction of differences in GDP levels among North African countries in 2023.

Figure 2 – GDP per capita, PPP. Years 2001-2023 (constant 2017 international $)

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Production structure

The characteristics of the twenty-six countries in the Mediterranean area, in terms of different levels of development and endowment of resources, are clearly visible by observing the composition of the Value Added of the economies by macro-sectors (see Figure 3).

The incidence of the Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing sector (hereinafter "agricultural" or "primary" sector) in the countries of the European Union - in an advanced stage of tertiarization of their economies - is very low and does not exceed 3% in most cases. In reaches the maximum level in Greece (4.3% of the total value added). The weight is greater in the Western Balkans, between 6% and 10%, with a peak of almost 21% in Albania. Lebanon and Israel in the Middle East also show a very low incidence of the primary sector and an advanced economic structure, with a strong weight of services, as does Libya in North Africa (just 1.2% the incidence of the agricultural sector) but for opposite reasons, thanks to the strong incidence of industry (63.8% of total added value, the largest share in the entire Mediterranean area), especially extractive; in the other North African countries the weight of agricultural value added is high, between 10% (Tunisia) and 13.7% (Algeria).

Figure 3 – Composition of Value Added by macro-sectors. Year 2023 (%)

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Within the manufacturing industry, the weight of “high value added” products from medium/hi-tech sectors signals the level of technological development achieved by a country and the ability of its production system to compete at an international level.

For most European Union countries this incidence is above 30%, with peaks of almost 52% in France. Other countries with a strong weight of such production are North Macedonia (33.2%), Turkey (34.3%) and, above all, Israel (almost 47% of total manufacturing). Morocco also records a very high incidence of medium/high technology production (41.2%) in fourth place in the Mediterranean area (see Figure 4).

Comparing the data for 2021 with 2011, we note a strong growth in the incidence of hi-tech production for Malta, Cyprus, North Macedonia and Morocco.

Figure 4 – Value Added of medium and high technology manufacturing (% of total manufacturing). Years 2011 and 2021

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Economy > Macroeconomics and Public Finance