International Relations

DOI: doi.org/10.71671/6tc2-zx31

The international economic relations of the Mediterranean countries highlight large disparities in trade balances, with few countries in surplus. However, most countries in the region have recorded a growth in the incidence of exports on GDP over the last twenty years. Energy exports are prevalent in some North African countries while EU countries are mainly importers of energy products. Foreign direct investments inflows are particularly significant in the Western Balkan countries due to their high incidence on the Gross Domestic Product. Malta stands out for its logistical and commercial role, with high exports and foreign investments inflows.

Overview

The analysis of indicators including trade balance, incidence of exports on GDP, trade of energy product and FDI flows, reflect the competitiveness, economic specialization and attractiveness of Mediterranean countries.

  • European Union
  • Western Balkans
  • Middle East
  • North Africa
Indicators Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) Exports of goods and services (annual % growth) Exports of goods and services (US$ billion, current values) Fuel exports (% of merchandise exports) Fuel imports (% of merchandise imports) Imports of goods and services (annual % growth) Imports of goods and services (US$ billion, current values) Foreign direct investment, net inflows (% of GDP) Foreign direct investment, net outflows (% of GDP) area_code ordgeo
Countries 2023 2023 2023 2023 2023 2023 2023 2023 2023
Portugal 47.4 4.1 136.2 6.6 11.6 2.2 133.8 3.4 2.1 A 1
Spain 39.0 2.3 615.8 6.8 14.6 0.3 550.6 2.1 1.8 A 2
France 32.7 1.2 990.5 5.1 13.4 -0.4 1,057.7 -0.1 1.4 A 3
Italy 35.1 0.2 790.4 3.6 14.7 -0.5 759.3 1.2 1.0 A 4
Slovenia 84.0 -2.0 57.3 5.6 9.0 -5.1 52.8 1.7 0.8 A 5
Croatia 54.0 -2.9 44.7 12.0 16.1 -5.3 46.2 3.6 1.6 A 6
Greece 44.9 3.7 106.9 32.4 27.8 2.1 118.6 2.1 1.5 A 7
Malta 166.7 8.7 34.9 5.4 16.1 4.6 30.9 27.1 -34.2 A 8
Cyprus 89.4 -1.2 28.8 49.0 22.4 1.7 29.1 1.7 -29.5 A 9
Serbia 59.9 2.4 45.0 .. .. -1.1 48.4 7.3 0.2 B 10
Kosovo 39.7 6.3 4.1 .. .. 5.9 7.4 8.2 2.0 B 11
Bosnia and Herzegovina 44.1 -3.2 11.9 9.5 13.2 -2.4 15.4 3.3 0.3 B 12
Montenegro 50.7 8.6 3.8 36.7 10.4 5.2 5.1 14.0 0.8 B 13
North Macedonia 72.8 -0.1 10.7 4.1 13.0 -5.8 12.7 6.3 1.3 B 14
Albania 39.6 10.1 9.1 0.4 0.3 1.3 10.3 6.7 0.3 B 15
Turkiye 32.3 -2.7 357.5 6.4 8.3 11.7 384.4 1.5 0.5 C 16
Syrian Arab Republic 24.8 15.8 2.2 49.9 19.6 122.0 6.6 1.2 .. C 17
Lebanon 46.1 2.8 8.3 0.4 29.7 -0.3 14.8 2.5 0.3 C 18
Jordan 30.3 .. 14.0 0.9 15.1 .. 23.2 2.3 0.0 C 19
Israel 30.9 -0.8 157.4 5.3 11.6 -6.6 138.4 4.4 2.0 C 20
West Bank and Gaza 19.6 5.7 3.4 0.0 24.4 3.0 11.6 1.2 -0.1 C 21
Egypt, Arab Rep. 19.1 31.4 75.6 17.5 15.2 1.1 84.5 2.4 0.1 D 22
Libya 68.6 7.1 34.7 94.4 13.1 -16.5 20.9 1.3 0.1 D 23
Tunisia 51.1 9.7 24.8 8.0 19.1 7.9 28.2 1.4 0.0 D 24
Algeria 25.2 3.1 60.4 96.1 4.2 19.4 50.4 0.0 0.0 D 25
Morocco 44.0 9.8 62.0 1.0 20.8 8.2 73.7 1.7 0.5 D 26

Exports of goods and services (% of GDP)
  • Syrian Arab Republic Latest available data: 2021
  • Jordan Latest available data: 2021
Exports of goods and services (annual % growth)
  • Syrian Arab Republic Latest available data: 2021
  • Jordan No data available
Exports of goods and services (US$ billion, current values)
  • Syrian Arab Republic Latest available data: 2021
  • Jordan Latest available data: 2021
Fuel exports (% of merchandise exports)
  • Serbia No data available
  • Kosovo No data available
  • Albania Latest available data: 2022
  • Syrian Arab Republic Latest available data: 2010
  • Lebanon Latest available data: 2022
  • Jordan Latest available data: 2022
  • Israel Latest available data: 2022
  • West Bank and Gaza Latest available data: 2022
  • Libya Latest available data: 2019
  • Tunisia Latest available data: 2022
  • Algeria Latest available data: 2017
  • Morocco Latest available data: 2022
Fuel imports (% of merchandise imports)
  • Serbia No data available
  • Kosovo No data available
  • Albania Latest available data: 2022
  • Syrian Arab Republic Latest available data: 2010
  • Lebanon Latest available data: 2022
  • Jordan Latest available data: 2022
  • West Bank and Gaza Latest available data: 2022
  • Libya Latest available data: 2019
  • Tunisia Latest available data: 2022
  • Algeria Latest available data: 2017
  • Morocco Latest available data: 2022
Imports of goods and services (annual % growth)
  • Syrian Arab Republic Latest available data: 2021
  • Jordan No data available
Imports of goods and services (US$ billion, current values)
  • Syrian Arab Republic Latest available data: 2021
  • Jordan Latest available data: 2021
Foreign direct investment, net inflows (% of GDP)
  • Malta Latest available data: 2022
  • Cyprus Latest available data: 2022
  • Serbia Latest available data: 2022
  • Kosovo Latest available data: 2022
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina Latest available data: 2022
  • Montenegro Latest available data: 2022
  • North Macedonia Latest available data: 2022
  • Albania Latest available data: 2021
  • Turkiye Latest available data: 2022
  • Syrian Arab Republic Latest available data: 2011
  • Lebanon Latest available data: 2022
  • Jordan Latest available data: 2022
  • Israel Latest available data: 2022
  • West Bank and Gaza Latest available data: 2022
  • Egypt, Arab Rep. Latest available data: 2022
  • Libya Latest available data: 2021
  • Tunisia Latest available data: 2022
  • Algeria Latest available data: 2022
  • Morocco Latest available data: 2022
Foreign direct investment, net outflows (% of GDP)
  • Malta Latest available data: 2022
  • Cyprus Latest available data: 2022
  • Serbia Latest available data: 2022
  • Kosovo Latest available data: 2022
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina Latest available data: 2022
  • Montenegro Latest available data: 2022
  • North Macedonia Latest available data: 2022
  • Albania Latest available data: 2021
  • Turkiye Latest available data: 2022
  • Syrian Arab Republic No data available
  • Lebanon Latest available data: 2022
  • Jordan Latest available data: 2022
  • Israel Latest available data: 2022
  • West Bank and Gaza Latest available data: 2022
  • Egypt, Arab Rep. Latest available data: 2022
  • Libya Latest available data: 2022
  • Tunisia Latest available data: 2022
  • Algeria Latest available data: 2022
  • Morocco Latest available data: 2022

Some highlighted topics

Trade balance and export dynamics

The Mediterranean countries have highly differentiated trade balance values. In 2023, just eight of the twenty-six countries had a positive balance, five of which belonged to the European Union.

In more detail, Figure 1 shows the normalized trade balance of Mediterranean countries, given by the ratio between net exports (export - import) and total trade (export + import). EU countries with a positive balance are, in order, Malta (+6.2%), Spain (+5.6%), Slovenia, Italy and Portugal. In addition to the five EU countries, also Libya (+24.6%), Algeria (+9%) and Israel (+6.4%) present a positive normalized balance. Among the countries with a strong deficit, Palestine and Syria record a normalized balance around -50%, while Jordan, Bosnia-Herzegovina and Lebanon between -25% and -30%.

Figure 1 – Normalized trade balance. Year 2023 (%)

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With reference to the trend of the ratio between exports and GDP in the period 2001-2023, it is more regular for the countries of the European Union and the Western Balkans compared to what was recorded in the Middle East and North Africa (see Figure 2). Only three of the twenty-six countries in the Mediterranean region recorded a contraction in the incidence of exports on GDP over the period observed: Algeria, Syria and Jordan (the last two with data available as at 2021).

Among the countries of the European Union, Malta stands out for an export-to-GDP ratio of over 100% throughout the period considered, thanks to its role as a primary transportation hub (166.7% in 2023), followed by Cyprus (89.4%) and Slovenia (84%). The Western Balkan countries show a markedly growing and similar trend between them, with North Macedonia and Serbia recording the highest value in 2023 (72.8% and 59.9% respectively) and the highest growth compared to 2001.

Middle Eastern countries show slightly lower values compared to other geographical areas. None of them exceed 50%, with Lebanon reaching 46.1% in 2023 thanks to the strong growth over the last three years. In North Africa, a particularly irregular trend can be noted for Libya (68.6% in 2023), where the high volatility of hydrocarbons prices strongly affects the value of the indicator, while Egypt is the country with the lowest incidence of exports on GDP, less than 20%.

Figure 2 – Exports of goods and services (% of GDP)

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The energy component in foreign trade

Energy products constitute a significant share of Mediterranean countries’ trade. Most of the twenty-six countries in the area show a higher incidence of energy products in imports than in exports (see Figure 3); seven countries are the exception, three of which are in North Africa.

In more detail, among the European Union countries only Greece and Cyprus have a higher incidence of the share of energy products on total goods in exports than in imports (32.4% vs. 27.8% and 49% vs. 22.4% respectively). Since they are not countries with significant fossil resources on their territory, Greece and Cyprus evidently act as hubs for the exchange of basic and refined energy products. In the Western Balkans, fuels account for 36.7% of Montenegro's exports of goods and only 10.4% of imports. Three of the five North African countries record a higher share of energy products on exported goods than on those imported: Egypt (17.5% versus 15.2%) and, above all, Libya and Algeria, where around 95% of goods exported it’s made up of energy products.

Figure 3 – Exports and imports of fuels. Year 2023 (% of goods trade). The chart shows countries with data for the reference year. Access the dashboard for comprehensive data.

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Foreign Direct Investments

Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) flows are particularly significant in the Western Balkan countries where the incidence on GDP ranges between 6.3% (North Macedonia) and 14% (Montenegro). Bosnia-Herzegovina is an exception with an incidence of 3.3%, closer to the levels of European Union countries. In the EU, excluding Malta, the weight of foreign investment flows does not exceed 5% (Croatia). The weight of FDI in Middle East and North Africa is significantly lower (maximum incidence of 2.5% in Lebanon); the exception is Israel (4.4%) where it is in line with the European Union countries’ average.

Figure 4 shows the twenty-six countries of the Mediterranean area distributed considering the incidence of both exports and foreign investments on GDP. The distribution of countries indicates a clear correlation between the share of exports and the share of incoming foreign investments. In more detail, Malta, which has a far higher incidence of foreign investment flows on GDP than the other countries, records exports equal to approximately 1.7 times the value of the gross domestic product.

Figure 4 – Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) and Foreign direct investment, net inflows. Year 2022 (% of GDP)

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Economy > International Relations